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Re: David, David, David. (1168 Views)
Posted by: JimP (IP Logged)
Date: May 29, 2002 07:37PM
In the ongoing dissing contest, David wrote:
'Your first sentence reveals exactly what I have been saying all along -- that the past determines the future; and that's why you get into trouble messing with variants,...'
Hey guys, as best I can understand the TG and Rags processes, they both depend on the ASSUMPTION that past is predictive of the future. TG uses the 'past' of the specific horses in a particular upcoming race to predict the time of that race and then builds a variant from that prediction. Rags uses the 'past' of groups of similar horses running at the distance at the track to predict the time for that upcoming race and then builds the variant from that prediction. They both rely on the past to predict the future in much the same way. As I understand the major difference in approach is that TG adjusts the variant between races on a single card and Rags does not do that (except for rare instances). The reason that one adjusts and the other does not is based on unproven assumptions in each case. One assumes that the track and other conditions can change in unobserved ways and the other assumes it can't.
I think I have summed up the basics of the two views. Both views seem to be deeply held. Both views are based on assumptions. Both parties seem to have equal disdain for the approach of the other. Until one party or the other offers some factual basis for their assumptions, one has to choose which assumptions to accept on faith and then decide with personal experience whether those assumptions lead to a product that works.
Last Words? (2298 Views)
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David Patent |
05/28/2002 10:51PM |
Didn't we already talk science? (1306 Views)
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Treadhead |
05/29/2002 12:10AM |
Re: Didn't we already talk science? (1205 Views)
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JimP |
05/29/2002 12:33AM |
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05/29/2002 12:43AM |
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Treadhead |
05/29/2002 01:11AM |
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Mall |
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tegger |
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05/29/2002 04:28PM |
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05/29/2002 05:02PM |
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David Patent |
05/29/2002 05:35PM |
Re: David, David, David. (1130 Views)
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TGJB |
05/29/2002 06:11PM |
Re: David, David, David. (1132 Views)
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David Patent |
05/29/2002 07:18PM |
Re: David, David, David. (1168 Views) |
JimP |
05/29/2002 07:37PM |
Re: David, David, David. (1097 Views)
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TGJB |
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mandown |
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05/31/2002 04:41PM |
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Re: jerry (1081 Views)
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TGJB |
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Re: jerry (1202 Views)
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Re: Mild Dissent. (1151 Views)
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05/31/2002 04:07PM |
Re: alydar (1199 Views)
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superfreakicus |
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Re: David, David, David. (1132 Views)
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Patrick Morgan |
06/03/2002 11:53PM |
Re: David, David, David. (1153 Views)
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Alydar in California |
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Re: David, David, David. (1076 Views)
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TGJB |
05/29/2002 03:15PM |
Re: David, David, David. (1078 Views)
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TGJB |
05/29/2002 03:10PM |
track speed (1164 Views)
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nunzio |
05/29/2002 11:37AM |
Re: Last Words? (958 Views)
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HP |
05/29/2002 01:20PM |
Re: Last Words? (1164 Views)
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TGJB |
05/29/2002 05:50PM |
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