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Re: David, David, David. (1171 Views)
Posted by: JimP (IP Logged)
Date: May 29, 2002 07:37PM
In the ongoing dissing contest, David wrote:
'Your first sentence reveals exactly what I have been saying all along -- that the past determines the future; and that's why you get into trouble messing with variants,...'
Hey guys, as best I can understand the TG and Rags processes, they both depend on the ASSUMPTION that past is predictive of the future. TG uses the 'past' of the specific horses in a particular upcoming race to predict the time of that race and then builds a variant from that prediction. Rags uses the 'past' of groups of similar horses running at the distance at the track to predict the time for that upcoming race and then builds the variant from that prediction. They both rely on the past to predict the future in much the same way. As I understand the major difference in approach is that TG adjusts the variant between races on a single card and Rags does not do that (except for rare instances). The reason that one adjusts and the other does not is based on unproven assumptions in each case. One assumes that the track and other conditions can change in unobserved ways and the other assumes it can't.
I think I have summed up the basics of the two views. Both views seem to be deeply held. Both views are based on assumptions. Both parties seem to have equal disdain for the approach of the other. Until one party or the other offers some factual basis for their assumptions, one has to choose which assumptions to accept on faith and then decide with personal experience whether those assumptions lead to a product that works.
Last Words? (2306 Views)
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David Patent |
05/28/2002 10:51PM |
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Treadhead |
05/29/2002 12:10AM |
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tegger |
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David Patent |
05/29/2002 07:18PM |
Re: David, David, David. (1171 Views) |
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Re: David, David, David. (1155 Views)
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Re: David, David, David. (1079 Views)
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Re: David, David, David. (1081 Views)
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TGJB |
05/29/2002 03:10PM |
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nunzio |
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Re: Last Words? (962 Views)
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HP |
05/29/2002 01:20PM |
Re: Last Words? (1167 Views)
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TGJB |
05/29/2002 05:50PM |
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