Re: ROTW - Preakness (493 Views)
Date: May 19, 2005 05:19PM
At this point I see Going Wild as so terrible if I were riding High Limit I'd try to get a trip similar to the one he got in the Blue Grass.
If GW wants the lead I'd let him have it, sit just off him, let him collapse on his own and then take over. If GW doesn't break well or doesn't get aggressive I'd go.
I think everyone else is capable of sitting just off those two without forcing the issue.
I felt much differently about it when Spanish Chestnut was in the race specifically to set a fast pace and Bellamy Road was another high quality speed in the mix. In a race like that, there was so much darn speed and an even bigger field trying to get and maintain position. I couldn't see any way the pace wasn't hot.
Probably a good way to look at the Preakness pace is to assume it will either be mildly fast or neutral and focus on horses that can deal with either of those. I can't see them crawling and I can't see another suicide mission.
Post Edited (05-19-05 17:36)