Re: Derby views from a Ragozin user (898 Views)
Posted by:
MO (IP Logged)
Date: April 29, 2007 05:38PM
Mike,
SS's BG was an improvement (vast?) because of his race last year at Kee. Carl is on record saying polytrack is not SS's best surface, yet his figure this year was about 3 points better than last year.
You have to look at the BCJ as a bit flukey. 10 legnth win over horses now everyone and his mother are gushing over. Why was it flukey? That's the question. The answer ( I think....) is that polytrack moves this horse up. He doesn't like it and when he gets on the CD dirt, he's like a kid in a candy store - an American pot smoker in Amsterdam - a sex maniac in Las Vegas (add your own analogy here_____________)
This horse, barring any of the usual BS (I have forewarned you all about)is a friggin mortal lock to win. He will pair or top his negative 2.