Re: OTB Dosage (511 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: May 01, 2007 07:17AM
Ok,
I dont know what his theory is, but I'm assuming the figures represent distance acheived in some manner. So he's got Scat rated just over a mile when he's already won Grade I's at 9 poles. Which isn't inconsistent with his theory that a horse can go an additional pole past his number. Doesn't look like he's got any qualifying Belmont winners, but I'm sure he thinks that race is an exception.
Would you not agree that if Street Sense wins or runs a good race Saturday his numbers are meaningless. Heck, he's qualified the whole field except for one (or two depending upon your view) of the big chance horses.
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> You've misinterpreted the data. The cutoff is
> 9.00, not 10.00. Therefore the only horses that
> are non qualifiers are Scat Daddy & Street Sense.
> The closer you are to 10, the better chance of
> lasting 10f. Any Given Saturday is weak on his
> female side according to Mr. Veitch's analysis,
> but when he presented the analysis he defended his
> overall 9.30 as good enough to win the Derby if
> the horse is up to the task. However, anyone who
> does not combined with the horse's ability & pace
> of the race into their analysis is missing the
> picture. It's like a year or two ago when he
> rated a horse very high for 10f, but he was a dead
> front runner in a race jammed with speed and in
> spite of his pedigree, in that race he stood no
> chance. The #s are only one part of a complex
> puzzle. If the game was easy, none of us would be
> on our way to work this morning.