Guys--

I think Alydar seems to understand where I'm coming from and it's all his to try to explain it TGJB.

As for the comment that it is more likely that a horse who has run a super fast number is more likely to do so again than one who never has run a super fast number to do so at all, I guess I agree with that. But that general statement--without taking into account the specifics as they are discussed above-- strikes me as almost wholly irrelevant.

I'll refrain from further dialogue on this subject out of fear that I'll misinterpret anything further. Looking forward to reading and learning more here.