>Classic: What was shaping up as the race of the year a month ago now is just OK. It's Congaree's to lose, and if he does, Hold that Tiger!<

My theory is that in 10 furlong races that are very deep in quality like the BC, KY Derby etc... stamina is often more important. In most cases, if you want to win a race that deep in talent you have to either "resist or offer" several challenges to other horses of significant ability - more often than in less competitive stakes at 10F. Congaree has always been suspect at 10 furlongs. His last win at 10F came under ideal conditions on a track that many felt favored the inside - which is where he was for much of the race. He's been terrific all year, but he is likely to get his stamina tested with MOD there early and a whole slew of other taking shots at both of them mid race and then late. I would need a decent price on Congaree. Couldn't take him short.