Re: Early Derby Analysis II (547 Views)
Posted by:
jbelfior (IP Logged)
Date: April 26, 2004 04:18PM
Workouts before the Derby mean nothing unless they are bad works.
Funny thing about BORREGO is that his pull-ups are all short after his races. I was never a big fan of any El Prado going long.
Terrific analysis by HP and the MRS. As for RTF, the last time I wagered on a horse that had not run since the FLA. Derby was BET TWICE, who obviously needed the race when he started swerving in the stretch. I thought BT 's Preakness was his best (as was ALYSHEBA'S) No thank you on RTF or FRIENDS LAKE for that matter.
Ever since SKIP AWAY's Blue Grass romp, I have tempered my enthusiasm for impressive winners/runners-up out of Keenland. I've seen too many Skip Away's, Millenium Wind's, Holy Bull's, High Yield/More Than Ready's, etc. Keenland form does not translate well to Churchill Downs which is not to say LH or TCE can't win, it's just to say I'm not going to look at that race as a key prep. I would rather look at someone out of the Blue Grass that ran well and perhaps can handle CD much better (pls. see THUNDER GULCH, UNBRIDLED,& SEA HERO). Can anyone read my mind?
Good Luck,
Joe B.