Re: Early Derby Analysis II (528 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 27, 2004 03:21PM
First off Twoshoes, I don't purport to be a pedigree expert. So take anything I say with a large dose of caution. That said, I do believe in utilizing pedigree to sort them out when they've demonstrated their two turn capability.
The inescapable thing about Limehouse is his sire Grand Slam. It appears pretty clear this sire is gonna be something special. He seems to be bringing early developement, speed and some ability to beyond a mere quick 6 marks. Master David is one too. Here is Limehouse's pedigree:
http://www.pedigreequery.com/index.php?query_type=horse&search_bar=horse&h=LIMEHOUSE2&g=5&inbred=Standard&x2=n&pedloggedin=0
Its funny, we were just discussing Pollard's Vision and heres another horse with a Dixieland Band broodmare Sire. The difference is this horse is not nearly as stamina oriented down the mare side. Pollard had Pleasant Colony and Nijinsky and some heavy duty others is my recollection, not to mention Chris Evert. His dosage reflects it but as Zito says "Dosage is Voodoo". However his sire may pick up some for the softer female side. I'd judge Limehouse on figures. Do you see a progressive pattern? I think its relatively clear the pace in the Bluegrass was somewhat hot. I thought Limehouse would walk away in that race but he ran a 46:60 on a slowish track and got beat. If Limehouse can conserve some energy early he's knocked heads with some good ones. That said if I was Pletcher and got a good post vis a vie Lionheart I might send this horse. He's got two horses someone has to take it to Lion early with Sinister on the bench.
I will say that depending upon post position I think he's got far more exotics potential than win potential.
Post Edited (04-27-04 15:27)