Sea Hero, Swale, and why Birdstone will win. (521 Views)
Posted by:
pgsheets (IP Logged)
Date: April 28, 2004 11:59AM
I do believe Sea Hero is the only horse to win the Derby without previously breaking through his 2 yr. old top.
In addition, Swale won the Derby off the biggest pre-Derby prep regression of any horse in 'recent' Derby history.
This year's combined version of the two is Birdstone.
Finally, Birstone looks like an adulterated version of a 4yr. old recovery line that Friedman used to tout and has made me money.
Picking Birdstone goes against everything I've learned over the past 20 + years.
On that note, if an Elusive Quality wins off what I'm hearing is a classic 0-2 pattern, going 10 panels against the best, then the end result is the same. All the data from the past is irrelevant.
If I have to watch Zito point to heavens and exclaim, "I love everyone", it might as well be with the horse everyone, including me, claims should not be here.
Zito Zito 1-2 and 1-3 in tri's and 1-4 in supers.