Re: Change of topic (1114 Views)
Posted by:
sekrah (IP Logged)
Date: May 23, 2017 01:05PM
If one is a 100% convinced that a bias existed, you still need to use the race (adjusted) in the context of the pattern, and most people who use a perceived bias do not do that. They automatically dismiss or promote a horse in their next race. A horse that was affected positively by a bias might make his pattern for the next race either stronger or weaker. Same if they were negatively affected.
Looking at Lee's performance Saturday does not help the argument for massive golden rail on Derby Day. He got a 0.5 in the Derby, a 2.75 pt new top. Based on that fresh top and only 2 weeks rest, he was suppose to throw a clunker. Unless that is you think the rail was 5 points faster on Derby Day and he 0-2-X'd. I think that's a bit unlikely.