Re: Change of topic (1044 Views)
Posted by:
belmont3 (IP Logged)
Date: May 24, 2017 07:54AM
"Why not just use the previous start before the biased race? "
Looking at wherethevalue's methodology, you pretty much asked the same question?
If one could 'quantify' or 'measure' the incline/decline, how would you do that?
I don't think Wherethevalue nor I suggest that incorporating a dead rail performance into one's handicapping was a one trick pony. Most punters consider a host of factors when handicapping.
Weather, (my interpretation) was simply suggesting a methodology that might be useful in assessing the 'effect' of a biased surface on a specific day.
If you see a dead rail designation, do you make a mental adjustment or just note that the figure may be understated?
Do you look at performance figs for those that ran with the bias, (in the case of April 28 Belmont) that would mean wide trips on the main track and adjust them as 'bias enhanced'?
In terms of the Belmont race I posted and the April 28th dead rail designation, how would you incorporate that into your handicapping?
Am curious.
Bob