Re: Mendelssohn Beyer (1097 Views)
Posted by:
Furious Pete (IP Logged)
Date: April 05, 2018 10:53AM
This is a good explanation. Mind you my response was to the proposed method of making figures on Mendelssohn by assuming that the horses in another race, the world cup, ran their race which would be insane. But I have not heard the actual episode so this might not have been what they meant (in fact, probably not, reading back I think I misunderstood. The assumption that the american world Cup horses all ran their races is flawed, though).
However I have a question regarding this that could prove useful to discuss, and that is: when you have a horse that clearly is so superior to the rest in the field, and they all try to chase him/challenge for the lead, is it still fair to assume that they ran their race? How much better must a horse be for it to be more likely that all the horses trying to follow, runs off races as a consequence. It's very hard to prove/quantify, but those runaway winners does seem to produce some odd numbers that never replicates.