I have tried to listen to that podcast a few times, but poor content and audio quality puts me off.

Yes I agree that I should not have been making comments about my interpretation about what another one says someone said, and I admitted that my interpretation was probably wrong.

I do know how one make figures (and also, how one shouldn't make figures).

Of those mentioned it's fair to say that Pavel, Mubtaahij and Forever Unbridled probably ran their race (as per TG - ground is crucial for those assessments), West Coast not even close. I still can't really see how it is normal to use projection for one race, for another race, specially when the race wasn't even ran at the same distance. It must be a lot of voodoing involved in that process. The best way to do it would be to know how racing at Meydan works, how racing times works out over the different distances, how the track plays out, and to go off the local horses and those that have visited before, rather than 1st time invadors from the other side of the world. If you still insist on making numbers on that, at least be prepared to admit that you really don't have a clue on what you are doing (and I'm not saying Andy Beyer didn't do just that, he is a very likable man that I respect a lot).

But the discussion is fruitless: Mendelssohn was fast. Period. Incredible fast, and more than fast enough. Even when one are considering the bias that undoubtedly helped that display. Now, will he repeat? I guess no figures could give one the answer to that.

Edit: On seeing that you are in fact Steve Byk, the host of ATR, here are some constructive suggestions for improving your podcast. First, the audio quality really must be better for it to be a "good place to be" for the listener, and that does not need to be hard/expensive to do in 2018. I listen to podcasts every day so I know that it's possible, also over telephone/skype. As for the content, I guess many people will be satisfied with what is, so no beef really there - it's just a matter of personal taste. I for one would love it if you could make episodes, maybe specials?, where one could have the discussions spinning around different themes. E.G. a "Bias special", where you could call around to different trainers, jockeys, track maintenance personal, bettors etc to get their input on the subject, you could do the same with "figure making special", "pace special" and "workouts special" (I see Mstrlucky74 would be following...). There are a lot of knowledge out there that would be interesting for those of us that don't already possess all the answers, and there really is an open spot in the market for someone that can gather the diversity of beliefs, theories, experiences etc that exists about different aspects of horse racing, and maybe even challenge them against each other. I believe this could fit well with your podcast profile.