Re: Mendelssohn Beyer (1038 Views)
Posted by:
mjellish (IP Logged)
Date: April 06, 2018 01:14PM
I know I did. A 9 pt jump up, a colt that wasn't listening to his jock in the AM leading up to the race and had to be put in draw reins, trained by Pletcher coming out of Florida. He wasn't even the fastest horse in the race and was sent off as the 9/2 favorite. That was an easy play against. I decided to let him beat me. And he did - that day. But I would play it the same way all over again, and he hasn't done anything since. IMO the 2nd big effort fried him for good.
I played Irish War Cry last year. Meh...
But what was really tough for me, and a few people on this board can verify this, was that I really liked Lookin at Lee to hit the board along with IWC last year. I even considered structuring my whole bet around keying LAL.
There was no way I was going to play an AD/IWC exacta. But knowing how much I liked LAL, what I should have done is at least covered that AD/LAL Exacta. I was getting over 150-1 on that. That's better than the percentage chance I gave AD of being able to pair or move forward off his big jump up top, and I thought LAL had a shot to even win the race.
It would have been worth playing.
But I'm stubborn and not that smart I guess.