Re: Mendelssohn Beyer (853 Views)
Posted by:
toppled (IP Logged)
Date: April 06, 2018 09:17AM
My decision will be guided by his appearance when he arrives at Churchill. If the experts are saying he looks gaunt & has lost weight since Dubai, I'll consider the Dubai race a knockout performance. If on the other hand, he arrives and is looking in top shape, I'll be all in on him. I look at it similar to when American Pharoah was going through the Triple Crown. He ran a big # in the Derby. Many thought he was going to bounce off the big Derby #. However, all reports from the tracks indicated that he looked fine and was not showing signs that horses who have been knocked out show. The difference is AP had a 1 as a 2YO and his -3 in the Derby wasn't the huge development that Mendelssohn has shown.
I think it will be interesting to see what happens if Mendelssohn wins the Derby. Will he run in all 3 Triple Crown races? Have his connections given any indication of their plans for him through June? If he continues on, then it gets interesting since I've seen many an analysis that said a horse who runs a knockout performance may hold it together for a next race, but eventually it will take its toll.