Re: Late odds changes in Dwyer (1105 Views)
Posted by:
BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: July 08, 2018 09:34AM
The replays on nyra.com often pick up well before the horses enter the gate. In this case, we can see that Firenze Fire was 6-1 and Seven Trumpets drifted from 14-1 to 15-1 as they were circling behind the gate. In the first flash after the gates opened, Firenze Fire had dropped to 5-1 and Seven Trumpets had dropped to 12-1. By the time they hit the 6f pole, they were 5-2 and 10-1, respectively. Based on a couple of sets of DD probables from the prior race, I guessed Firenze Fire would be 3.8-1 and Seven Trumpets would be 8.5-1.
I wonder if the batch bettors underestimated the amount of late money that would come in on Firenze Fire.