Well it was certainly fast.

3YO,MSW:22.88, 46.06, 57.92, 1:10.73
4^,NW2X:23.86, 46.88, 1:11.39, 1:35.71
3YO,MSW:22.07, 45.07, 56.68, 1:08.95
4^,SAlw:24.08, 48.13, 1:12.64, 1:38.33, 2:04.49
3YO,MSW:21.89, 45.14, 57.35, 1:10.37
3YO,150K:22.62, 45.39, 1:08.80, 1:21.33
4^,NW1X:21.54, 43.84, 1:08.47, 1:22.01
3^,350K:21.59, 43.30, 1:07.48, 1:20.46
3YO,750K:23.13, 46.08, 1:09.84, 1:34.41, 1:47.16
4^,SNW1X:22.73, 45.47, 1:10.51, 1:37.50

The third race was very quick and it looks to have gotten quicker by the sixth race. The eighth certainly seemed off the chart. Those horses are good, but not that good.

The fourth and tenth races are mot easy to draw conclusions from. The former was a 10 mark starter allowance and nursing the distance had to be an issue with those animals. The latter for state bred animals and they look to have collapsed late. Still they ran fast early.

Theres two ways to look at the Wood. In either case Bellamy Road ran fast. In the first scenario you would say that it looks like he caught a very fast track. Going Wild couldn't have been right. Survivalist didn't figure to want longer ground and Scrappy T may have needed a race.

In the other scenario Bellamy ran Going Wild into the ground. Scrappy T though game had his heart chewed out and gave up second late to a horse that improving clunked up and Galloping Grocer ran his same race proving himself to be distance challenged.

Theres no doubt Bellamy is good. Hes run well in all his starts save one. Its interesting that the horse that beat him in the race he lost is Consolidator and that when headed Bellamy apparently chucked it in.

This horse is fast. I've heard TGraph is leaning to Neg 4 and thats in the first scenario. Though fast, this horse was not seriously challenged in the Wood. He walked and he didn't walk because he ran a monster pace effort. Theres some very quick horses lining up for the Derby and I think every trainer out there now realizes this horse has to be engaged.

I dont think this is a Smarty Jones. At least the Pre Belmont Smarty. He's good, but he's got a pretty good achilles heel but they'll need to expose it.



Post Edited (04-10-05 22:52)