Chuckles,

Your posts about Bellamy Road are eerily similar to your posts about Ghostzapper before the BC Classic, with the exception of the fact that you aren't questioning the distance for Bellamy Road.

Trying to beat the favorites is an admirable and smart thing to do, in my opinion, but the case you are making against Bellamy Road, is not strong. The horse is just as impressive as Smarty Jones, and I dare say more impressive. THe horses he beat in the Wood, while not top notch, were faster or even with all the horses in the Santa Anita Derby, except Sweet Catomine.

If the number is -4, then Bellamy Road is 4 points faster than any other three year old. And, the only horses that are within 4 points are Afleet Alex (sprint figure), Sun King (one turn figure), and Blues and Royals (one prep in Dubai).

That is a very very strong "number edge", in my opinion.