Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (369 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: April 11, 2005 12:48PM
Just to clarify, that "4 point edge" does not include the numbers this weekend in the Santa Anita Derby or the Illinois Derby, as T-Graph hasn't calculated them. I am using the numbers in the T-Graph Derby special last week, plus the -4 posted on this board as the "unofficial" Bellamy Road figure.
But I would seriously doubt any horse in the SA Derby ran a "0" or better.
As for the Illinois Derby, I guess the figure for Greeley's Galaxy could be pretty good. We'll have to see.
Speaking of the SA Derby, I would bet the best figure in that race has to go to Wilko. Anybody see the ride that Frankie Dettori gave him. Is there such a thing as "ground loss" records? If there was, I would guess that for 1 1/8 mile races at Santa Anita, Dettori came close. After the ridiculous rides by Jamie Spencer in the BC, especially on Powerscourt, I said I would never bet a European jockey in a US race. But I thought Dettori would be the exception. I was wrong. He had tactical speed in a paceless race and he had a long long run into the first turn. And he still screwed up.
After the race Dettori said the horse was dead game and would move forward off the race and proved he could stay the distance in the Derby. Of course he proved it, he almost ran 1 1/4 in the 1 1/8 race on Saturday.
Sorry for the sour grapes, but as somebody who had Wilko to win and used both the 30-1 winner and 50-1 second place finisher in exactas and triples, needing Wilko 1st or 2nd to make a killing, that ride was tough to take...........