Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (425 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 10, 2005 11:35PM
Don't forget Consolidator.
To me its a no brainer. Beyer says the race was a 119. TGraph is leaning towards a Negative 4. The problem is the how fast was the track for the 8th and 9th? I'm leaning much, much faster than Beyer thinks and you really can't two turn that number in my opinion. I believe this race was the horses last start before the Derby was it not? On two negatives running up, he's clearly the Derby favorite and the horse to take if the odds are good or the horse to beat if they are shallow. Regardless of odds, on Derby Day I think an early pace challenge makes him very vulnerable. Its more a sense than anything, but I think the pressure will be there and thats the way i'm currently leaning.
I also remember Concerto.