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Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (360 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: April 10, 2005 11:18PM

CTC,

"In the other scenario Bellamy ran Going Wild into the ground."

IMO, that scenario is less likely because Scrappy T was up there with them and he hung around fairly well. I think it is much more likely that Going Wild was just terrible for whatever reason (though chasing that horse sure didn't help matters).

"Though fast, this horse was not seriously challenged in the Wood. He walked and he didn't walk because he ran a monster pace effort."

I agree that he wasn't challenged, but the pace was more or less in line with the final time. So if the final time was fast (which I think everyone agrees it was) the pace was also actually faster than average for 3YOs at this time of year.

"Theres some very quick horses lining up for the Derby and I think every trainer out there now realizes this horse has to be engaged."

Even though I think this horse is unlikely to duplicate his 119 Beyer/-4 TG at 10F with some pressure, on an honest racetrack, against a real Grade 1 field, I'm not sure I would want it to be my horse that's the one to challenge him early in the Derby. I think it's going to be close to impossible to run hard with this horse, put him away, and win -if he stays even reasonably close to this sharp.

I'll tell you one thing. If I trained High Limit, Rockport Harbor or another speed/presser type, I'd give him some lessons on how to relax behind horses over the next few weeks - assuming they all make it that far.



Subject Written By Posted
Aqueduct 4/9 (596 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/10/2005 10:46PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (360 Views) 04/10/2005 11:18PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (426 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/10/2005 11:35PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (388 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 12:41PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (370 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 12:48PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (405 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/11/2005 03:55PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (370 Views) P-Dub 04/11/2005 02:17PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (394 Views) jbelfior 04/11/2005 02:30PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (389 Views) Delmar Deb 04/11/2005 02:44PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (377 Views) HP 04/11/2005 02:54PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (435 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 03:23PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (392 Views) Michael D. 04/11/2005 03:27PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (379 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 03:34PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (401 Views) Michael D. 04/11/2005 03:44PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (348 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 03:49PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (360 Views) Michael D. 04/11/2005 03:56PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (371 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 04:07PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (394 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/11/2005 04:37PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (413 Views) beyerguy 04/11/2005 05:47PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (360 Views) Michael D. 04/11/2005 05:53PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (459 Views) beyerguy 04/11/2005 05:57PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (371 Views) jimbo66 04/11/2005 05:55PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (401 Views) Michael D. 04/11/2005 06:01PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (385 Views) beyerguy 04/11/2005 06:02PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (434 Views) 04/11/2005 06:10PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (356 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/11/2005 05:05PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (470 Views) TGJB 04/11/2005 03:40PM
Re: Aqueduct 4/9 (430 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/11/2005 03:42PM


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