Re: Blue Grass (386 Views)
Date: April 15, 2005 11:24AM
"Classhandicapper: How about following mikemd's lead and posting your betting line for the race?"
These are my rounded off fair odds:
Mr Sword 25-1
Closing Argument 10-1
Spanish Chestnut 35-1
Consolidator 7-2
High Limit 7-2
Sun King 7-2
Bandini 9-2
I would need prices higher than this to bet (enough of a margin of safety to keep me profitable on the assumption my line making is far from perfect).
Closing Argument might go off longer, but I have a thing about betting on horses in Grade 1 races off more than 2 month layoffs (don't like it). I also don't like to go that far down my list of contenders for a win bet unles the overlay is huge.
This line is subject to change if for some reason the track comes up wet or "I" perceive a bias. However, if that's the case, I'll be sure to post my view before the race. I'll also let you know if I actually pull the trigger on a bet. I'm still sort of thinking about it.