Re: Blue Grass (420 Views)
Posted by:
big18741 (IP Logged)
Date: April 15, 2005 09:10PM
Consolidator is fast,but not sprinter fast.He is clearly a horse that wants to get into a comfortable cruising gear.He needs two turns not 7f or less.
His fastest sprints are 6 and 6.5
His first time going long he jumped up to a 3.5
Three weeks later at Lone Star he raced with a quarter crack,was bumped at the start,bumped again in the stretch and still managed to run a 5.5 which wasn't bad considering.
San Felipe a 1.
His three fastest races were all at two turns.Throw out his sprints and his sheet looks a lot better.
As for the Bluegrass:
Mr Sword has a nice turn of foot,but he doesn't sustain it so Bailey will have to wait as long as possible before he moves on him.I'm using him underneath HL and Consolidator in tris.
CA missed some time because of foot problems.Even though he won the Holy Bull-he got an easy trip and came home really slow.High Fly and KC boy were staggering at the end of that race.I don't think CA wants the distance,but he could get another easy trip sucking around on the rail and hang in for third.
Spanish Chestnut is a real dog,and if either Consolidator or HL is lapped onto him he'll check out of the race early.
Consolidator goes off 3rd or maybe 4th choice(I sense Bandini getting bet)-has won over the track,is working great,hasn't missed any time all spring,and is co fastest going two turns.I have him running another 1 or better.
Lukas won't back off him now that he's getting good.
Frankel doesn't prep horses in million dollar races,and he won't screw around with his running style.He's going right up to engage SC unless Consolidator beats him to the punch.My guess is HL is quicker out of the gate and Consolidator will sit a length or two behind and Bejarano will try to ease him in behind or outside HL.Shouldn't be a problem unless JR decides to put Bandini up 3 wide early.
Sun King might not have been tuned up for the TB Derby,but Prado was working him over pretty good in the stretch of that race to pull away from some real dogs.He's only had a couple of two turn races,and neither has been very impressive.In both he was inside horses on the rail and seemed to struggle in the stretch.Maybe he doesn't want distance or maybe he wants to be outside of horses,but
either way I'm getting rid of him at a short price.
Bandini isn't as fast as the 4 and 5 and has a bad post.He needs to jump up and work out a trip.A lot to ask for.
I'm with TGJB on this one.An HL/Consolidator exacta probably pays 20.00 The other way high 20's maybe 30.Get Bandini and Sun King off the board and tris with Mr Sword and Ca in 3rd might come back ok.