Class,

You cashed Bandini in the Blue Grass? I remember you saying something about a price there (you said something about getting off the couch for...6/1 or something?). I think Bandini was 3/1 or 7/2 in the Blue Grass. You bet him? Maybe I'm remembering this wrong?

You named three horses, all from the same barn. One was short, just like I said (Bandini), you missed one despite your incredible insight (Flower Alley - but you get some credit anyway since you only made a betting error!) and you cashed one decent (CSilver).

I understand you have keen insight here regarding Pletcher (I've read this from you at least a few thousand times now) but I think my point stands. What do you do when Pletcher doesn't have a horse in the race? The horses you described will get bet! Name a trainer who manages to sneak this great lightly raced stock past the public on a regular basis. Who are you talking about?

No one said it was JUST about finding a big price to cash, but yeah, that is probably the most important thing to me.

As for "understanding the actual chances of various horses to win," I think that is what everyone is trying to do.

I just KNOW you are going to get in the last word... Please don't repeat yourself about Pletcher if you're going to post (your Pletcher examples are not really that compelling! -- you hit ONE horse at a decent price). Give another example so we can learn from you.

HP