HP,

I didn't bet the BG. What I was saying about Bandini is that I appreciated the fact that he was highly likely to improve. So when I made my odds line for the race, my estimate of his chances kept me OFF other horses in the race that I might have otherwise been tempted to bet.

The trainers that are getting the best young stock varies over the years as does their style of training, but it's not so difficult to keep on top of that.

In general, what I am saying is that just because the general public tends to bet well bred lightly raced horses from the very best barns, that does not mean you should exclude that information from your analysis of the race. Sometimes the public doesn't fully appreciate these things on the board.

That goes double for an improving workout line.

That's one of the few applications of WOs that has served me well over the years. Those really explosive moves forward among young horses are sometimes tipped off in the WO line. I tend to focus on the longer WOs (5F and longer).

As a recent example, I couldn't have come up with Giacomo as more than a live exotic horse no matter how many times I tried, but he had a great WO line coming into the Derby. Had I played superfectas, I believe I would have used him 3rd and 4th.



Post Edited (06-02-05 15:56)