I guess it's nice to have DPatent agree with me.

Michael, I recall saying (not on this thread) positive things about Prado a few weeks ago. Aly is better at searching these things than me. If Prado was riding a horse I liked I would bet the horse. Nothing's changed, except now the horses Prado is riding are often shorter than they should be, and there may be betting opportunities when the shorter price isn't justified.

Others will now call Prado (who might not have called him a few weeks ago) and he'll probably have more choices. This 'up' cycle will last as long as it lasts. As betting angles go, you might be better off waiting for Prado to screw up, since then the public frontrunners will then go back to underestimating his choices and handicappers will go back to getting square prices on horses Prado rides that figure to win. This cycle goes with a changing cast of riders ad nauseum. A few seem to be close to the top all the time, and the 'second tier' is always moving around.

Your friend wouldn't have made a dime if Prado wasn't riding horses that had a fair chance of winning. If you think they're winning because Prado's just so much better than the others, I'd rather not have another argument. If Noel Wynter or some other .07 percent winning journeyman jock rides the fastest horse he will probably win, and I will make that bet every time. Good luck. HP