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Road to the Derby (1331 Views)
Posted by: johnnym (IP Logged)
Date: January 17, 2020 10:18AM

This weeks stop takes us to the LeComte Stakes run at 1 1/16mile at the Fair Grounds

Tough race to handicap with 10 horses coming in from an of track one coming from the turf one from the Astro dirt. FYI forecast has a chance of rain in it

Numerous horses coming in with very similar #s main contenders in my Opinion

#1 Has shown a improving figure with every race likes coming from of the pace and on the rail top # is a 6 over a SY track trainer not very good in stakes races.
Should be coming late which plays well for this track

#2 Another horse with a improving pattern last out # is a 7.3 over a SY track who wins at 19% graded stakes. Stalker who has a second over this course.
Others just as fast with better odds

#4 Class of the race top # of a 6 last race is a throw our for me regarding how the track was playing. Goes back to Lanerie and More Than Readys do improve.
Question is how sharp will he be. A win contender for sure can I find better odds elsewere?

#9 One of three Asmussens the one I like the best. Has his go to jock and has paired his first two races, jump up very possible here

#10 Casse and Frenchy has a very respectful # of 6 two races back then regressed slighty on the slop. Like the breeding a lot. Juicy odds at 15-1

#13 Coming in of the Maiden win over this track with the fastest #5.
Going the route here but breeding suggests no problem.
Jockey trainer combo wins at 21% and he has been hitting 32% tops last 90 days
6-1 ML


hearing the 14 is being scratched and going to the Smarty Jones

My play
13 to win hopefully the speed of the speed gets the lead relaxes and takes em around.



Tri part wheel
13/1-2-4-9-10/1-2-4-7-9-10
1-2-4-9-10/13/1-2-4-7-9-10

Good Luck
John



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