Re: Road to the Derby (884 Views)
Posted by: johnnym (IP Logged)
Date: January 23, 2020 12:51PM

This weeks road to the Derby takes us to Oaklawn for the
Smarty Asmussen Jones Stakes

9 runners entered with weight allowance
Asmussen has 4 of the 9 runners entered here
My main contenders

#2) Has run a 6 twice and may be sitting on a move forward 23% to run a new top with his go to jock 5-2

#6) Has won his last two sprinting on a sloppy track pairing he last two #s with a 6 has never been a route, is he a slop specialist?
Asmussen first time route wins at 19% while running new tops 13% of the time. Looks to be the speed. 5-1

#7) Has the fastest # in the race with a 5.2 Have to assume Asmussen is high on this horse running in 3 GR 1 all ready
Santana got of him to get on the 2 and Tyler is flying in
21% to run a new top 3-1

#8) Casse trainee and Casse doesn’t seem to do his best at Oaklawn winning at 13% clip. Numbers wise has paired his last two #s with 7s
Has a good chance to move forward has the stalking running style 6-1

#9) Has ran a pair of 6s them regressed a bit. Is this a 0-2-X pattern?
Stretching out to a route we’re the trainer wins at 12% first time routes
Trainer ships well winning at 26% has Ortiz on him.
Trainer not to good at Oaklawn but very small sample
Sire is not a big name so a bit of a unknown


My 2 cents do not like this race as much as the Lecomte as far as a investor.
So not going crazy here
My top pick
#7 for the win

The maiden may get a piece underneath,horse he finished second to last out just ran big.

GL



Subject Written By Posted
Road to the Derby (15237 Views) johnnym 01/17/2020 10:18AM
Re: Road to the Derby (1311 Views) FrankD. 01/17/2020 08:21PM
Re: Road to the Derby (955 Views) johnnym 01/18/2020 08:35AM
Re: Road to the Derby (957 Views) Mike C 01/18/2020 09:35AM
Re: Finnick the Fierce (966 Views) BitPlayer 01/18/2020 10:16AM
Re: Road to the Derby (972 Views) johnnym 01/18/2020 01:19PM
Re: Road to the Derby (933 Views) Marlin 01/18/2020 04:07PM
Re: Road to the Derby (890 Views) BitPlayer 01/18/2020 05:53PM
Re: Road to the Derby (897 Views) johnnym 01/18/2020 07:04PM
Re: Road to the Derby (884 Views) johnnym 01/23/2020 12:51PM
Re: Road to the Derby (974 Views) FrankD. 01/23/2020 05:46PM
Re: Road to the Derby (939 Views) BitPlayer 01/23/2020 08:02PM
Re: Road to the Derby (1082 Views) toppled 01/23/2020 10:08PM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (971 Views) BitPlayer 01/24/2020 10:08AM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (930 Views) johnnym 01/24/2020 04:56PM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (931 Views) BitPlayer 01/24/2020 05:26PM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (820 Views) Silver Charm 01/24/2020 05:31PM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (955 Views) johnnym 01/24/2020 06:52PM
Withers (840 Views) johnnym 01/31/2020 09:44PM
Holy Bull (932 Views) johnnym 01/31/2020 10:06PM
RB Lewis (812 Views) johnnym 01/31/2020 10:08PM
Re: RB Lewis (818 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 09:57AM
Re: RB Lewis Projected Odds from DD (842 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 05:49PM
Re: Holy Bull (1109 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 07:19AM
Re: Holy Bull (811 Views) Silver Charm 02/01/2020 07:56AM
Re: Holy Bull (848 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 08:08AM
Re: Holy Bull (841 Views) Silver Charm 02/01/2020 08:50AM
Re: Holy Bull (817 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 09:29AM
Re: Holy Bull (862 Views) Silver Charm 02/01/2020 10:02AM
Re: Holy Bull Projected Odds from DD (823 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 04:52PM
Re: Holy Bull (838 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 05:28PM
Re: Holy Bull (825 Views) jbelfior 02/01/2020 05:45PM
Re: Holy Bull (893 Views) dcbred1 02/01/2020 06:03PM
Re: Holy Bull (920 Views) FrankD. 02/01/2020 06:35PM
Re: Holy Bull (922 Views) belmont3 02/01/2020 10:02PM
Re: Withers (1008 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 09:45AM
Re: Withers (830 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 03:59PM
Re: Withers Projected Odds from DD (870 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 04:07PM
Sam F Davis (1069 Views) johnnym 02/07/2020 05:41PM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (931 Views) richiebee 02/08/2020 06:57AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (979 Views) FrankD. 02/08/2020 07:58AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (835 Views) jbelfior 02/08/2020 08:07AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (936 Views) big18741 02/08/2020 08:55AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (927 Views) Tavasco 02/08/2020 09:16AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (759 Views) Tavasco 02/09/2020 07:38AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (920 Views) FrankD. 02/09/2020 04:02PM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (958 Views) Tavasco 02/08/2020 08:48AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (915 Views) albatross 02/08/2020 01:06PM
Re: Sam F Davis Projected Odds from DD (926 Views) BitPlayer 02/08/2020 05:18PM
Risen Star #1 (881 Views) johnnym 02/15/2020 06:41AM
Re: Risen Star #1 (786 Views) Mike C 02/15/2020 08:48AM
Re: Risen Star #1 (788 Views) BitPlayer 02/15/2020 09:56AM
Re: Risen Star #1 (834 Views) JEB 02/15/2020 12:11PM
Re: Risen Star #1 (868 Views) jbelfior 02/15/2020 10:16PM
Re: Risen Star #1 (843 Views) atakante 02/16/2020 02:49PM
Re: Risen Star Day Gold Rail? (818 Views) BitPlayer 02/17/2020 12:29PM
Re: Risen Star #1 Projected Odds from DD (930 Views) BitPlayer 02/15/2020 06:21PM
Risen Star part Duex (898 Views) johnnym 02/15/2020 06:59AM
Re: Risen Star part Deux Projected Odds from DD (758 Views) BitPlayer 02/15/2020 06:55PM
Southwest Stakes (1066 Views) johnnym 02/17/2020 07:29AM
Re: Southwest Stakes (862 Views) big18741 02/17/2020 08:13AM
Re: Southwest Stakes (773 Views) johnnym 02/17/2020 05:15PM
Re: Southwest Stakes (827 Views) johnnym 02/17/2020 05:22PM
Re: Southwest Stakes (896 Views) Tavasco 02/17/2020 04:07PM
Re: Southwest Stakes Projected Odds from DD (966 Views) BitPlayer 02/17/2020 05:25PM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (834 Views) BitPlayer 02/28/2020 11:56AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (785 Views) Mathcapper 02/29/2020 12:13AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (684 Views) hellersorr 02/29/2020 01:14AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (753 Views) Mathcapper 02/29/2020 01:29AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (682 Views) BitPlayer 02/29/2020 11:27PM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (716 Views) Mathcapper 03/01/2020 01:55AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (679 Views) BitPlayer 03/01/2020 08:13AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (625 Views) Boscar Obarra 03/09/2020 03:11PM
FOY Stakes (994 Views) johnnym 02/28/2020 03:46PM
Re: FOY Stakes (872 Views) hellersorr 02/28/2020 06:11PM
Re: FOY Stakes (1004 Views) Silver Charm 02/28/2020 07:59PM
Re: FOY Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (734 Views) BitPlayer 02/29/2020 05:56PM
Re: FOY Stakes (798 Views) johnnym 02/29/2020 06:46PM
Tampa Bay Derby (845 Views) johnnym 03/06/2020 02:51PM
Gotham stakes (933 Views) johnnym 03/06/2020 03:35PM
Re: Gotham stakes (814 Views) Silver Charm 03/06/2020 10:10PM
Re: Gotham stakes - Projected Odds from DD (621 Views) BitPlayer 03/07/2020 05:24PM
Re: Tampa Bay Derby - Projected Odds from DD (720 Views) BitPlayer 03/07/2020 05:14PM
San Felipe (862 Views) johnnym 03/07/2020 06:59AM
Re: San Felipe (789 Views) BitPlayer 03/07/2020 08:39AM
Re: San Felipe - Projected Odds from DD (773 Views) BitPlayer 03/07/2020 05:50PM
Re: Road to the Derby (814 Views) Silver Charm 03/08/2020 10:11AM
Re: Road to the Derby (715 Views) johnnym 03/08/2020 11:10AM
Re: Road to the Derby (715 Views) Silver Charm 03/08/2020 11:40AM
Re: Road to the Derby (733 Views) boardedup 03/08/2020 02:26PM
Re: Road to the Derby (677 Views) johnnym 03/08/2020 02:58PM
Re: Road to the Derby (671 Views) johnnym 03/08/2020 03:15PM
Re: Road to the Derby (767 Views) TGJB 03/08/2020 04:56PM
Re: Road to the Derby (625 Views) big18741 03/08/2020 06:56PM
Re: Road to the Derby (700 Views) ajkreider 03/08/2020 04:55PM
Rebel Stakes (891 Views) johnnym 03/14/2020 09:22AM
Re: Rebel Stakes (780 Views) Mike C 03/14/2020 10:21AM
Re: Rebel Stakes (842 Views) Silver Charm 03/14/2020 11:51AM
Re: Rebel Stakes (865 Views) BitPlayer 03/14/2020 03:04PM
Re: Rebel Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (728 Views) BitPlayer 03/14/2020 05:54PM
Re: Rebel Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (726 Views) johnnym 03/14/2020 09:44PM
Re: Rebel Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (710 Views) ajkreider 03/14/2020 10:49PM
Re: Rebel Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (634 Views) johnnym 03/15/2020 08:14AM
Re: Rebel Stakes Figures (771 Views) BitPlayer 03/15/2020 10:30AM
Re: Rebel Stakes Figures (860 Views) TGJB 03/15/2020 10:36AM
Re: Rebel Stakes Figures (804 Views) BitPlayer 03/15/2020 01:03PM
Louisiana Derby (781 Views) johnnym 03/21/2020 07:37AM
Re: Louisiana Derby (790 Views) JEB 03/21/2020 02:12PM
Re: Louisiana Derby Projected Odds from DD (653 Views) BitPlayer 03/21/2020 05:30PM
Curlin FL Derby (898 Views) johnnym 03/27/2020 10:09PM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (747 Views) Mike C 03/28/2020 08:33AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (781 Views) bfick 03/28/2020 08:58AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (699 Views) johnnym 03/28/2020 09:06AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (660 Views) big18741 03/28/2020 10:54AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (656 Views) big18741 03/28/2020 10:59AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (694 Views) johnnym 03/28/2020 11:33AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (731 Views) JEB 03/28/2020 12:32PM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (711 Views) Focus959 03/28/2020 02:53PM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (742 Views) kencbs 03/28/2020 03:25PM
Re: FL Derby Projected Odds from DD (863 Views) BitPlayer 03/28/2020 06:27PM
Re: Oaklawn Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (725 Views) BitPlayer 04/11/2020 06:29PM


Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.