Your Ask The Experts ID
is separate from your
Order Online Account ID
 Race of the Week:  2023 Breeders' Cup Days Final Figures Santa Anita 3-4 November 2023  • 1 Specials Available
Order Online
Buy TG Data
 Complete Menu of
TG Data products
Simulcast Books
 Customize a Value
Package of Select
TG Data
Sheet Requests
 Order The Last Figure for Any Horse
Free Products
Redboard Room
 Download and Review previous days' data.
Race of the Week
With detailed comments
ThoroTrack
 Email notification when your horse races
Information
Introduction
For newcomers.
Samples and Tutorials
For Horsemen
Consulting services and Graph Racing
Sales Sites
Where to buy TG around the country
Archives
Historical races and handicapping articles
Handicapping
Hall of Fame
Major handicapping contest winners
Home Page
Goto: Forum List•Message List•New Topic•Search•Log In
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (834 Views)
Posted by: BitPlayer (IP Logged)
Date: January 24, 2020 10:08AM

If anyone is interested, I'm going to post projected odds (based on DD betting) for the Smarty Jones on Twitter (@ProjectedOdds) once the prior race has been run. You don't have to have a Twitter account to see posts there.

Up to now, I have only done it for NYRA races. So far, I'm finding that the actual win payoff is within 15% of the projected win payoff about half the time. The method is more accurate than that for short-priced horses, presumably due to greater sample size. The accuracy of the method at Oaklawn could be different.

Options: Reply To This Message•Quote This Message•Report This Message


Subject Written By Posted
Road to the Derby (14993 Views) johnnym 01/17/2020 10:18AM
Re: Road to the Derby (1161 Views) FrankD. 01/17/2020 08:21PM
Re: Road to the Derby (848 Views) johnnym 01/18/2020 08:35AM
Re: Road to the Derby (851 Views) Mike C 01/18/2020 09:35AM
Re: Finnick the Fierce (851 Views) BitPlayer 01/18/2020 10:16AM
Re: Road to the Derby (857 Views) johnnym 01/18/2020 01:19PM
Re: Road to the Derby (820 Views) Marlin 01/18/2020 04:07PM
Re: Road to the Derby (782 Views) BitPlayer 01/18/2020 05:53PM
Re: Road to the Derby (785 Views) johnnym 01/18/2020 07:04PM
Re: Road to the Derby (741 Views) johnnym 01/23/2020 12:51PM
Re: Road to the Derby (841 Views) FrankD. 01/23/2020 05:46PM
Re: Road to the Derby (799 Views) BitPlayer 01/23/2020 08:02PM
Re: Road to the Derby (772 Views) toppled 01/23/2020 10:08PM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (834 Views) BitPlayer 01/24/2020 10:08AM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (808 Views) johnnym 01/24/2020 04:56PM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (751 Views) BitPlayer 01/24/2020 05:26PM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (713 Views) Silver Charm 01/24/2020 05:31PM
Re: Smarty Jones Projected Odds (821 Views) johnnym 01/24/2020 06:52PM
Withers (710 Views) johnnym 01/31/2020 09:44PM
Holy Bull (790 Views) johnnym 01/31/2020 10:06PM
RB Lewis (704 Views) johnnym 01/31/2020 10:08PM
Re: RB Lewis (721 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 09:57AM
Re: RB Lewis Projected Odds from DD (694 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 05:49PM
Re: Holy Bull (989 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 07:19AM
Re: Holy Bull (706 Views) Silver Charm 02/01/2020 07:56AM
Re: Holy Bull (718 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 08:08AM
Re: Holy Bull (731 Views) Silver Charm 02/01/2020 08:50AM
Re: Holy Bull (671 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 09:29AM
Re: Holy Bull (739 Views) Silver Charm 02/01/2020 10:02AM
Re: Holy Bull Projected Odds from DD (697 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 04:52PM
Re: Holy Bull (714 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 05:28PM
Re: Holy Bull (730 Views) jbelfior 02/01/2020 05:45PM
Re: Holy Bull (777 Views) dcbred1 02/01/2020 06:03PM
Re: Holy Bull (804 Views) FrankD. 02/01/2020 06:35PM
Re: Holy Bull (795 Views) belmont3 02/01/2020 10:02PM
Re: Withers (880 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 09:45AM
Re: Withers (725 Views) johnnym 02/01/2020 03:59PM
Re: Withers Projected Odds from DD (714 Views) BitPlayer 02/01/2020 04:07PM
Sam F Davis (920 Views) johnnym 02/07/2020 05:41PM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (778 Views) richiebee 02/08/2020 06:57AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (843 Views) FrankD. 02/08/2020 07:58AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (708 Views) jbelfior 02/08/2020 08:07AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (684 Views) big18741 02/08/2020 08:55AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (748 Views) Tavasco 02/08/2020 09:16AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (632 Views) Tavasco 02/09/2020 07:38AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (802 Views) FrankD. 02/09/2020 04:02PM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (740 Views) Tavasco 02/08/2020 08:48AM
Re: Sam F Davis-- Pedigree Play (687 Views) albatross 02/08/2020 01:06PM
Re: Sam F Davis Projected Odds from DD (795 Views) BitPlayer 02/08/2020 05:18PM
Risen Star #1 (729 Views) johnnym 02/15/2020 06:41AM
Re: Risen Star #1 (651 Views) Mike C 02/15/2020 08:48AM
Re: Risen Star #1 (643 Views) BitPlayer 02/15/2020 09:56AM
Re: Risen Star #1 (646 Views) JEB 02/15/2020 12:11PM
Re: Risen Star #1 (737 Views) jbelfior 02/15/2020 10:16PM
Re: Risen Star #1 (704 Views) atakante 02/16/2020 02:49PM
Re: Risen Star Day Gold Rail? (697 Views) BitPlayer 02/17/2020 12:29PM
Re: Risen Star #1 Projected Odds from DD (748 Views) BitPlayer 02/15/2020 06:21PM
Risen Star part Duex (737 Views) johnnym 02/15/2020 06:59AM
Re: Risen Star part Deux Projected Odds from DD (638 Views) BitPlayer 02/15/2020 06:55PM
Southwest Stakes (915 Views) johnnym 02/17/2020 07:29AM
Re: Southwest Stakes (745 Views) big18741 02/17/2020 08:13AM
Re: Southwest Stakes (646 Views) johnnym 02/17/2020 05:15PM
Re: Southwest Stakes (711 Views) johnnym 02/17/2020 05:22PM
Re: Southwest Stakes (780 Views) Tavasco 02/17/2020 04:07PM
Re: Southwest Stakes Projected Odds from DD (828 Views) BitPlayer 02/17/2020 05:25PM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (708 Views) BitPlayer 02/28/2020 11:56AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (610 Views) Mathcapper 02/29/2020 12:13AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (564 Views) hellersorr 02/29/2020 01:14AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (591 Views) Mathcapper 02/29/2020 01:29AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (554 Views) BitPlayer 02/29/2020 11:27PM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (563 Views) Mathcapper 03/01/2020 01:55AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (538 Views) BitPlayer 03/01/2020 08:13AM
Re: Are projected odds catching on? (491 Views) Boscar Obarra 03/09/2020 03:11PM
FOY Stakes (853 Views) johnnym 02/28/2020 03:46PM
Re: FOY Stakes (725 Views) hellersorr 02/28/2020 06:11PM
Re: FOY Stakes (863 Views) Silver Charm 02/28/2020 07:59PM
Re: FOY Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (623 Views) BitPlayer 02/29/2020 05:56PM
Re: FOY Stakes (652 Views) johnnym 02/29/2020 06:46PM
Tampa Bay Derby (717 Views) johnnym 03/06/2020 02:51PM
Gotham stakes (785 Views) johnnym 03/06/2020 03:35PM
Re: Gotham stakes (703 Views) Silver Charm 03/06/2020 10:10PM
Re: Gotham stakes - Projected Odds from DD (517 Views) BitPlayer 03/07/2020 05:24PM
Re: Tampa Bay Derby - Projected Odds from DD (570 Views) BitPlayer 03/07/2020 05:14PM
San Felipe (744 Views) johnnym 03/07/2020 06:59AM
Re: San Felipe (679 Views) BitPlayer 03/07/2020 08:39AM
Re: San Felipe - Projected Odds from DD (644 Views) BitPlayer 03/07/2020 05:50PM
Re: Road to the Derby (659 Views) Silver Charm 03/08/2020 10:11AM
Re: Road to the Derby (601 Views) johnnym 03/08/2020 11:10AM
Re: Road to the Derby (609 Views) Silver Charm 03/08/2020 11:40AM
Re: Road to the Derby (599 Views) boardedup 03/08/2020 02:26PM
Re: Road to the Derby (566 Views) johnnym 03/08/2020 02:58PM
Re: Road to the Derby (564 Views) johnnym 03/08/2020 03:15PM
Re: Road to the Derby (645 Views) TGJB 03/08/2020 04:56PM
Re: Road to the Derby (517 Views) big18741 03/08/2020 06:56PM
Re: Road to the Derby (584 Views) ajkreider 03/08/2020 04:55PM
Rebel Stakes (760 Views) johnnym 03/14/2020 09:22AM
Re: Rebel Stakes (671 Views) Mike C 03/14/2020 10:21AM
Re: Rebel Stakes (732 Views) Silver Charm 03/14/2020 11:51AM
Re: Rebel Stakes (706 Views) BitPlayer 03/14/2020 03:04PM
Re: Rebel Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (610 Views) BitPlayer 03/14/2020 05:54PM
Re: Rebel Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (577 Views) johnnym 03/14/2020 09:44PM
Re: Rebel Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (565 Views) ajkreider 03/14/2020 10:49PM
Re: Rebel Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (514 Views) johnnym 03/15/2020 08:14AM
Re: Rebel Stakes Figures (630 Views) BitPlayer 03/15/2020 10:30AM
Re: Rebel Stakes Figures (671 Views) TGJB 03/15/2020 10:36AM
Re: Rebel Stakes Figures (646 Views) BitPlayer 03/15/2020 01:03PM
Louisiana Derby (607 Views) johnnym 03/21/2020 07:37AM
Re: Louisiana Derby (603 Views) JEB 03/21/2020 02:12PM
Re: Louisiana Derby Projected Odds from DD (494 Views) BitPlayer 03/21/2020 05:30PM
Curlin FL Derby (776 Views) johnnym 03/27/2020 10:09PM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (645 Views) Mike C 03/28/2020 08:33AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (668 Views) bfick 03/28/2020 08:58AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (582 Views) johnnym 03/28/2020 09:06AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (548 Views) big18741 03/28/2020 10:54AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (537 Views) big18741 03/28/2020 10:59AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (576 Views) johnnym 03/28/2020 11:33AM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (616 Views) JEB 03/28/2020 12:32PM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (595 Views) Focus959 03/28/2020 02:53PM
Re: Curlin FL Derby (613 Views) kencbs 03/28/2020 03:25PM
Re: FL Derby Projected Odds from DD (689 Views) BitPlayer 03/28/2020 06:27PM
Re: Oaklawn Stakes - Projected Odds from DD (594 Views) BitPlayer 04/11/2020 06:29PM


Goto: Forum List•Message List•Search•Log In
Sorry, only registered users may post in this forum.
This forum powered by Phorum.

Thoro-Graph 180 Varick Street New York, NY 10014 ---- Click here for the Ask The Experts Archives.