Re: Today's Plays/Races and Summer End (477 Views)
Date: September 07, 2004 02:31PM
>1. It is clear that often, the sheets plays move and affect the odds. I have seen T-Graph picks that don't as much form to the normal handicapper, go off at underlaid odds quite often.<
I think everything else you observed flows from the above.
No one makes perfect figures.
No one has a perfect methodology.
No one can systemize all of racing's less objective complexities like the impact of pace, bias, class, form cycle etc... into an easy to use method.
Even though t-graph may make the best speed figures available, it is not uncommon for me to find value going totally against the consensus view of the biggest sheet players.
IMHO, they have a huge influence on the board and they are not always right. Their interpretations and bets are based on their figures and their beliefs about bias, pace, class etc....