Re: Today's Plays/Races and Summer End (488 Views)
Date: September 07, 2004 03:45PM
jimbo,
I agree with you.
I think it is MUCH easier to point to horses that were advantaged/disadvataged by the pace in their last race (better/worse than they look on final time figures alone) than it is to predict the likely race development pre-race.
One of the problems I am certain we are going to run into is the figures themselves.
It's long been my opinion that TG is building the impact of pace right into their final time figures "on occasion". That sometimes accounts for the huge differences in figures between various figure makers.
When that is the case, you would be double counting the impact of pace if you adjusted the TG figure.