Re: Today's Plays/Races and Summer End (508 Views)
Posted by:
Delmar Deb (IP Logged)
Date: September 08, 2004 12:07PM
Are you talking about speed figures or pace figures? You cannot mix the two as they are very different, and pace handicapping - which is what I responded to in your post - ALWAYS uses the early pace figure and the final figure to determine the outcome.
A higher speed figure does not equate to a higher pace figure - as the pace figure has two parts to it - final par and early pace.
I think you are merely talking about a lone F situation vs. a contested speed duel. Obviously, in pace handicapping, if you can find either a lone F advantage, or a horse who can withstand and/or layoff the expected contested pace and still finish in par or above par time - you have a play. But those are part of the mathematical calculations you have to do...and determine which races are most representative and which figures a horse will run back to.
So, my friend, when you refer to pace handicapping, please remember that it is a lot more involved than just the question of lone or contested speed.
Delmar Deb