Re: Florida Derby (433 Views)
Posted by:
Saddlecloth (IP Logged)
Date: April 02, 2005 12:02PM
going back the the LD Derby, I know that High Limit got a lone f trip and the track was extrememly biased, but he did set very fast pace fractions, so its entirely possible that he is legit. I would be more skeptical about the rest of that fields chances of reproducing the form.
classhandicapper wrote:
> >No. For clarity's sake, High Limit has run lights out every
> time he's set foot on the track. The figures are pretty strong,
> to say the least. <
>
> I believe a fast sprint and a slow paced loose lead route
> against garbage cans in Delaware combined with a fast race
> where he was on a loose lead in a moderate pace on a track that
> might have been biased tells me that the horse is good. It
> doesn't tell me if he's as good as his figures indicate or how
> he will run when a real Grade I horse hooks him.
>
> >If Vicarage finishes up the track I may attribute it to the
> fact that he's backed up off of significant efforts before. As
> for the "outside closers," I guess it depends on which ones and
> how they run. I really can't imagine a scenario where, say,
> Wall Street Scandal runs well and I'll say, "wow, I'm off High
> Limit now." >
>
> I agree with everything you say. No one subsequent performance
> from that day will be proof. I am looking for evidence and it
> starts accumulating today.
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