TGJB -

I'm trying to understand your position regarding the Louisiana Derby and High Limit.

To me, everything in Vicarage's past performances before and after the Louisiana Derby suggests a horse with distance limitations, yet he somehow paired his sprint top going 8.5 furlongs in the Louisiana Derby on a day when horses running close to the pace did very well. The sheets you posted show those frontrunners all either pairing or exceeding their previous tops, which would be consistent with a track playing hospitably to speed (or horses with distance limitations).

I understand that many explanations for all of this are possible. For example, Vicarage was third-off-a-layoff and first-time-two-turns-on-dirt in Louisiana, and then got riled when he hit the gate yesterday. One feasible explanation, however, is that something was favoring Vicarage that day and could also have been favoring High Limit.

Fast-forward to a loaded Blue Grass in two weeks. Would you take that possibility into account when you evaluate High Limit's chances in that race?