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Re: Vicarage, High Limit, LA Derby (397 Views)
Posted by: miff (IP Logged)
Date: April 03, 2005 05:12PM

I understand your methodology and that seems reasonable and correct to me.As to your comments about bias in general, let me add this. On many occasions at the track you will hear some people yelling 'speed bias" after a couple of much the best runners (going in) wire the field.

I completely agree with you that on most of those occasions, there was no speed bias at all.I have noted and recorded many days at NYRA tracks where there was PRONOUNCED speed biases or dead rails.

On one or two obvious bias days at Belmont, I questioned the lack of an X(dead rail) on your sheets.You replied, for example, that on May5th at Belmont (deadest of all dead rails days)that several horses got tops racing down inside and therefore there was no dead rail.What you should have concluded is that several horses running inside ran new tops IN SPITE of the dead rail( a major difference)

Figs alone will never tell it all about this game and a computer program is not going to catch every dead rail.



miff



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