Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (711 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: April 20, 2005 11:32AM
JB,
Any thought to having an "in person" seminar for the Derby in the NY area. Not to steal an idea from the enemy, but I see that Len hosts a dinner derby seminar on Wednesday night. Not sure what your market share is in NYC or if it makes sense (I know you have more internet customers, not sure about NYC base?)
Second question for any "experienced" sheet reader out there. Most of us on this board accept the -4 or thereabouts for Bellamy Road in the Wood. However, when you look at his overall line, what does it look like? ON Beyer, he actually looks like a "one race" horse, as his other race this year was only a 96 beyer. On T-Graph, both of his races this year are very fast, matching the first might make him the Derby winner, matching the 2nd would almost definitely make him the derby winner.
I have read on the "other" board that Len has already taken a negative position on the horse. I guess his numbers are in line with Jerry's because Len mentions a 9 point move from his 2 year old top to the Wood, making the horse a "bet against" on Derby day. It looks like about a 9 point move on T-Graph also.
I want to bet against the horse, I am having trouble though because without seeing this past weekend's numbers yet, it looks to me like he could bounce 3 or 4 points and still win.
Comments from any experienced sheet players out there on his pattern?
No pace arguments please. We have all ready about 100 times why the pace guy thinks he is a phony.