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Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (380 Views)
Posted by: TGJB (IP Logged)
Date: April 20, 2005 03:12PM

A few things--

1-- We used to give live Derby and BC seminars, they are labor intensive and involve renting a room, finding a place with adequate parking, etc. We reach an awful lot of people much easier with the web seminars, and that's where our potential customers are these days as well. And there's not much overhead, or additional work, since I have to write those paragraphs anyway (which is brutal for the BC, not so bad for the Derby/Oaks).


2-- Bellamy Road's GP race came on a day when the track was steadily getting much faster throughout, and was in the middle of the card. I added a lot compared to races before it, but not nearly as much as I did to the later races, so no, I didn't break it out. My guess is that Beyer did it as a straight-up split variant, attaching that race to the later ones, splitting them from the earlier ones.

As an aside, I've never seen anything like these two new Magna tracks (GP and LRL). They are unbelievably changeable without precipitation, on a regular basis, which presumably means they are extremely sensitive to changes in moisture content (humidity, wind and sun, track maintenance), and therefore presumably have some different kind of soil content.

3-- On the Bandini question from a couple of days ago-- incremental moves are fine, but they don't go on indefinitely, and there are a lot more horses who can handle a 6 without bouncing than a 3, etc. Additionally, Pletcher horses don't generally develop through a campaign, they show what they've got early on-- and since this one was slower than several others and starting outside he was tough to like.

CH, if you post any pace or bias nonsense in response to this very specific question and response it will be deleted.

4-- Chris-- since it will be THE question for this year's Derby, how about a study of how horses ran coming in off big new tops. When we put out the sheets for the probables there will be a lot of noise, and I might post the full sheets for some of the preps so you can see how we got there. It's unnerving to be giving out all these negatives, but when horses run 4 to 9 points better than anyone else in the race, there ain't a whole lot of choice-- as you will see.



TGJB



Subject Written By Posted
Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (714 Views) jimbo66 04/20/2005 11:32AM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (369 Views) twoshoes 04/20/2005 12:05PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (365 Views) 04/20/2005 12:06PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (370 Views) jimbo66 04/20/2005 12:16PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (395 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/20/2005 12:38PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (365 Views) jbelfior 04/20/2005 01:55PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (380 Views) TGJB 04/20/2005 03:12PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (399 Views) 04/20/2005 04:55PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (358 Views) TGJB 04/20/2005 05:22PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (359 Views) 04/20/2005 05:37PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (367 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/20/2005 05:43PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (394 Views) jimbo66 04/20/2005 05:55PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (350 Views) 04/20/2005 06:12PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (378 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/20/2005 06:28PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (363 Views) 04/20/2005 06:10PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (479 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/20/2005 06:28PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (340 Views) 04/21/2005 09:42AM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (367 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 04/20/2005 05:27PM
Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (351 Views) NoCarolinaTony 04/20/2005 05:40PM


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