Re: Question for JB and Read on Bellamy Road (370 Views)
Posted by:
jimbo66 (IP Logged)
Date: April 20, 2005 12:16PM
CH,
There is one pace handicapper on this board who thinks the race was phony. I won't name names as my policy is to ignore this guy in the future.
As for an odds line. I already created my starting point. Of course it evolves from now until the Derby. This is it: Assumes 16% takeout, another 1.5% "breakage". Also assumes 18 horse field (might be 20, but for now, I assume 18. I also don't know all the starters, so you can see there are placeholders for a few 50-1 shots to fill out the field.
Bellamy Road $8.00 3 to 1
Bandini $14.00 6 to 1
Afleet Alex $18.00 8 to 1
High Fly $18.00 8 to 1
Consolidator $26.00 12 to 1
High Limit $26.00 12 to 1
Sun King $26.00 12 to 1
Rockport Harbor $26.00 12 to 1
Noble Causeway $26.00 12 to 1
Buzzard's Bay $62.00 30 to 1
Andromeda's Hero$62.00 30 to 1
Flower Alley $82.00 40 to 1
Greater Good $82.00 40 to 1
Wilko $102.00 50 to 1
?? $102.00 50 to 1
?? $102.00 50 to 1
?? $102.00 50 to 1
?? $102.00 50 to 1