TG,

I'd like to know if BR's race prior to the Wood was broken out and whether that accounts for the big difference between his Beyer and TG figure for that race. I won't comment further.

Jimbo,

I don't know any pace handicapper that thinks Bellamy Road's race was phony from a pace perspective. The pace figure he earned was very similar to the final time figure he earned (very fast).

I still think the main question is whether he can duplicate that performance at 10F, on a less speed friendly racetrack, against a field that will almost certainly contain a couple of horses that can and will take some kind of pot shot at him (unlike the dogs with fleas he faced at Aqu.)

I think the answer is almost certainly no, but I wouldn't be surprised if he runs a slower race and still wins. Putting a proper odds line on him is going to be no easy task for me. I'm waiting for you for some help. :-)