Re: KY Derby Futures Bets -- Pool 1 -- Post Mortem (551 Views)
Posted by:
flushedstraight (IP Logged)
Date: February 15, 2007 01:18PM
Buck, if you get enjoyment out of it, is it really a sucker play? (assuming you play this game for fun)
I tread carefully in this area, as I find it difficult to evaluate what odds are good or bad. Plus, with the bullcrap pari-mutual futures, you don't know what odds you're getting anyway unless you bet late. Like for instance that Pletcher trained half sister to Jazil that just ran that monster race last week. Is 7-2 a good future price in the Oaks? If she makes the race and doesn't flop in the expected one prep at 3-5, she'll be odds on in May.
The last time I played derby futures was 03, when I played the field in pool one and singled a bunch of others at what seemed like decent odds. By derby day I had [i]almost[/i] the whole field. I was at a derby party and just before the race a novice friend asked me what I had. I told him I'll show a profit if any horse wins except the 6. The rest is history.