Re: Ilking (482 Views)
Posted by:
fkach (IP Logged)
Date: March 06, 2007 09:33AM
I don't understand your thinking on Scat Daddy. This is a very easy horse for me to read.
He flashed some early talent.
He strongly hinted of better things to come in the Champagne where he earned a good figure closing down a quality field while losing a lot of ground despite a crawling pace.
He had no chance in the BC Juvenile where he raced relatively close to a fast pace while far outside on a day when the inside seemed to be the place to be. A quick glance at the charts shows how the horses racing near the pace did in that race.
He came back with a reasonable prep. IMO it was ideal, if you were/are trying to get a horse to peak in the Derby.
Now, he apparently moved forward a bit (pending the TG figure) second off the layoff. That's exactly what you would want to see (unless he went too far).
Obviously there are questions about his ability to stay 10F and you can't be sure he will continue developing between now and May. However, those are legitimate questions about most of the 3YOs at this time of year.
Personally, I congratulate anyone that was wise enough to get a futures bet in on him prior to the FOY victory no matter what happens from here. There was a lot of value in understanding the true quality of his Champagne and his legitimate excuse in the BC Juvenile. I understood both, but didn't pull the trigger on any futures bets.
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 03/06/2007 10:33AM by fkach.