Re: KY Derby Futures Bets -- Pool 1 -- Post Mortem (472 Views)
Posted by:
imallin (IP Logged)
Date: February 17, 2007 04:41AM
not trying to belittle in any way, just wanted to bring up a few points i felt were something everyone could consider.
Sure, you're correct, if your horse runs off the screen in his next prep, your bet at 44-1 is going to look ingenius no doubt. I came up with 25-1 vs 44-1 because i feel that you need almost double the odds NOW than you would be getting on Derby day just to make it an even-steven swap. 44-1 now = 25-1 on Derby Day IMO.
If you can find a way to get into the gate at 8-1, you made a decent bet.
Remember, the Derby is also going to have 20 starters, which means that 8-1 is almost the favorite...i believe that Barbaro was a close 2nd choice in the wagering at 6-1.
You can never really go wrong risking 1 dollar to win 44 dollars on anything in horseracing, i just wanted to bring up a few points about your wager. Hopefully you didn't feel i was picking on you.