Thanks for the clarification on the notes!

regarding the 5-1: That's what Barbaro paid last year as the betting favorite, I think.

Regarding the Tampa race, Carl said before the race he wasn't cranked up 100% and that AGS was his main foe. So I see the Tampa race as hitting a bullseye. Then he goes to Kee and regresses on polytrack, but still ran a better figure than last year at Kee. After his Kee race last year he puts up a huge figure at CD, in fact the fastest figure of this bunch.

So I view SS as an improving colt - in fact the 2 yo champ improving around Derby time - that's a rare occassion. 5-1 on the 2 yo champ and fastest horse in the race, in a race run only once a year under unique conditions - that IS value. I'm going on record as NOT a Borel fan, BUT I get a better price with him than I do with JV or EP. And so for this one race on this one day I will take 5-1 and if and when he screws it up, I'll piss and moan for a half hour lamenting that in horse racing I am often dissapointed, but never surprised.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/22/2007 09:04AM by MO.