Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (704 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 22, 2007 11:49AM
Close win against AGS and a loss to Dominican. If SS isn't 5-1 in this race with a 20 horse field I'll be stunned.
Curlin will be favored. Circular Quay, Scat Daddy and AGS will take money. Probably in that order.
Uncle Buck Wrote:
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> MO...It's obvious you and I are on SS and won't
> budge. I've got an envelope full of Ben Franklin's
> I've been saving sitting in my credenza with his
> name on it and will NOT waiver on my top choice
> unless he gets terrible workout reports or looks
> seriously washy in the post parade. In that case I
> would have to rethink the race.
>
> I do not care what his odds are. I will still bet
> him at 5-2 or 3-1. If I lose I lose. We all, (no
> matter what some say) lose more than we win in
> this or any form of gambling.
>
> What I have learned in betting 20 or so Derbies is
> once I zero in on a horse (and in this case - he
> just so happens to be the fastest horse), I plan
> everything around that one. Oaks/Derby double -
> wheeled pick 3's and pick 4's, and I bet the horse
> across the board as the place and show payouts are
> always respectable in the Derby. If I get to
> worried and look too long I can make a case for
> every rat in the race and with all the exotics
> available I go NUTS!
>
> I would be willing to bet that the owners of TG
> will advise a play against SS. I can already hear
> the word "Underlay." And that's fine...
>
> But I don't bet odds most times. I bet horseflesh.
> Sometimes I win, sometimes a lot, but 70% of the
> times I lose...
>
> I'm hoping this year is a repeat of the 2001
> Derby, when Monarchos bought me a new patio set,
> living room furniture, a moster TV, a Rolex watch
> and some other things I needed!
>
> Good luck. We WILL prevail!