MO...It's obvious you and I are on SS and won't budge. I've got an envelope full of Ben Franklin's I've been saving sitting in my credenza with his name on it and will NOT waiver on my top choice unless he gets terrible workout reports or looks seriously washy in the post parade. In that case I would have to rethink the race. Nafzger has won a Derby. Pletcher, Jones, O'Neil and Asmussen HAVE NOT. Street Sense pummeled this group once already. Others HAVE NOT. AGS ran wider than SS in Tampa but SS was coming off a four month layoff and STILL BEAT AGS. Case CLOSED! SS is the best horse and on Beyers, TG #'s and BRIS figures is fastest. Borel is a damn good jock and Churchill Downs is his home track. He will work out a trip.

I do not care what his odds are. I will still bet him at 5-2 or 3-1. If I lose I lose. We all, (no matter what some say) lose more than we win in this or any form of gambling.

What I have learned in betting 20 or so Derbies is once I zero in on a horse (and in this case - he just so happens to be the fastest horse), I plan everything around that one. Oaks/Derby double - wheeled pick 3's and pick 4's, and I bet the horse across the board as the place and show payouts are always respectable in the Derby. If I get to worried and look too long I can make a case for every rat in the race and with all the exotics available I go NUTS!

I would be willing to bet that the owners of TG will advise a play against SS. I can already hear the word "Underlay." And that's fine...

But I don't bet odds most times. I bet horseflesh. Sometimes I win, sometimes a lot, but 70% of the times I lose...

I'm hoping this year is a repeat of the 2001 Derby, when Monarchos bought me a new patio set, living room furniture, a moster TV, a Rolex watch and some other things I needed!

Good luck. We WILL prevail!



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 04/22/2007 11:51AM by Uncle Buck.