Re: TG's Comment on the Derby (671 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: April 22, 2007 09:13AM
MO you never know whats going to happen in the world of horseracing, but this one horse marginalizes Pletchers entire stable. If he stays fit I'm confident he accomplishes more this year than any horse in the TAP barn. There are those that say hes a "one-timer" and the truth is they are correct. But the two close finishes after that one time showed theres some horse there too. The other item is how the animal has been managed. When the race is over if he's not on top, others can point out the one time even if they don't have the winner. Hopefully he enters the gate on the 1st Saturday in May fully loaded for his A race. He may need it. Curlin is a horse that has given the appearance that he could be of the best kind.
Lastly, there is Hard Spun. He did not beat much in his last race but he looked to do it effortlessly. Then his stable gave him a winter break. Really had to figure why they felt the need to do so at this stage.
MO Wrote:
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> Thanks for the clarification on the notes!
>
> regarding the 5-1: That's what Barbaro paid last
> year as the betting favorite, I think.
>
> Regarding the Tampa race, Carl said before the
> race he wasn't cranked up 100% and that AGS was
> his main foe. So I see the Tampa race as hitting a
> bullseye. Then he goes to Kee and regresses on
> polytrack, but still ran a better figure than last
> year at Kee. After his Kee race last year he puts
> up a huge figure at CD, in fact the fastest figure
> of this bunch.
>
> So I view SS as an improving colt - in fact the 2
> yo champ improving around Derby time - that's a
> rare occassion. 5-1 on the 2 yo champ and fastest
> horse in the race, in a race run only once a year
> under unique conditions - that IS value. I'm going
> on record as NOT a Borel fan, BUT I get a better
> price with him than I do with JV or EP. And so for
> this one race on this one day I will take 5-1 and
> if and when he screws it up, I'll piss and moan
> for a half hour lamenting that in horse racing I
> am often dissapointed, but never surprised.