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Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (582 Views)
Posted by: (IP Logged)
Date: September 01, 2005 09:42AM

I'd be willing to bet that the win percentage for both products will be very similar if the sample size is large enough. In fact, I'd bet they will be so close you won't be able to tell whether the difference can be attributed to the quality of the product or randomness. The ROI result will at least partly be a function of whose figures are contributing more money to the pools - also not a matter of quality.

I've done some smaller studies on different sets of speed figures that I thought were of high quality (never TG and RAG though) and they always produced very similar net results despite the fact that they often disagreed on who the fastest horse was. It was enough to convince me that very small differences in the figures don't matter much to the win percentage and that it's highly likely that no one has a monopoly on mistake free figures when we are talking about a length here or there.

I think the real trick is those occasional races where there is a huge discrepancy due to either methodology or interpretation. IMO, those don't show up often enough to infuence the aggregate results heavily, but if you have a preference for some reason, IMO that should probably decide whose figures you use.






Subject Written By Posted
Come on, Len. Knock it off. (1305 Views) TGJB 08/31/2005 06:24PM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (710 Views) kev 08/31/2005 08:13PM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (725 Views) jimbo66 08/31/2005 09:54PM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (646 Views) kev 08/31/2005 10:20PM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (675 Views) jimbo66 08/31/2005 10:50PM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (582 Views) 09/01/2005 09:42AM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (633 Views) miff 09/01/2005 10:39AM
Study, What Study? (662 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 09/01/2005 12:31AM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (647 Views) sighthound 09/01/2005 02:59AM
Here We Go Again (677 Views) TGJB 09/01/2005 03:36PM
Re: Here We Go Again (606 Views) jimbo66 09/01/2005 04:01PM
Re: Here We Go Again (605 Views) TGJB 09/01/2005 04:06PM
Re: Here We Go Again (661 Views) jimbo66 09/01/2005 04:32PM
Re: Here We Go Again (692 Views) richiebee 09/02/2005 03:46AM
Re: Here We Go Again (638 Views) richiebee 09/01/2005 04:16PM
Re: Here We Go Again (630 Views) TGJB 09/01/2005 04:21PM
Re: Here We Go Again (603 Views) miff 09/01/2005 04:22PM
Re: Here We Go Again (620 Views) TGJB 09/01/2005 04:30PM
Re: Here We Go Again (582 Views) miff 09/01/2005 04:39PM
Re: Here We Go Again (696 Views) TGJB 09/01/2005 04:42PM
Re: Here We Go Again (668 Views) 09/01/2005 05:01PM
Re: Here We Go Again (678 Views) TGJB 09/01/2005 05:06PM
Re: Here We Go Again (633 Views) miff 09/01/2005 05:07PM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (632 Views) richiebee 08/31/2005 10:18PM
Re: Come on, Len. Knock it off. (655 Views) TGJB 09/01/2005 11:57AM
please JB (681 Views) horsegoer 09/01/2005 11:00AM
Re: please JB (687 Views) TGJB 09/01/2005 11:39AM
Re: please JB (647 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 09/01/2005 11:45AM
Re: please JB (671 Views) 09/01/2005 11:48AM
Re: please JB (590 Views) Chuckles_the_Clown2 09/01/2005 11:58AM
Re: please JB (618 Views) horsegoer 09/01/2005 12:19PM
Re: please JB (631 Views) 09/01/2005 01:10PM
Re: please JB (691 Views) jimbo66 09/01/2005 01:27PM
Re: please JB (636 Views) 09/01/2005 01:30PM
Re: please JB (665 Views) kev 09/01/2005 06:29PM


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