Re: Matron & Atto Mile (595 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: September 18, 2005 10:14PM
jimbo66 Wrote:
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> Clown,
>
> Do you realize that every time a horse wins, you
> write the same thing. Let's see him do it without
> an easy lead. Let's see him do it on a track was
> that wasn't biased. Let's see him do it carrying
> 140 pounds like Dr. Fager. Not its Let's see him
> do it from the outside post against Europeans.
Well, Jim that field was sitting on bounces in all candor. Don't you ever review the races? Or do you just look at the margin, the boxscore and the previous numbers for the winner to determine how good a race he ran?
Lets look at the horses behind The Fastest Horse in the World:
Do you think King of Happiness ran his 1.5 from essentially the rail? Because if you did the others ran very very fast races. In fact Leroid would be at about Negative 6 if he did...lol I know, you think it was.
Do you think Vanderilin comin off a 2 point plus Career top paired or went forward? He was only beaten 2 lengths for second. Or do you think he regressed significantly?
What about Le Cinquieme Essai coming off a 3 point Career top? Check your sheets. Which way did he go?
How about Sophias Prince?
Mobil might have run his 1.5 with ground loss. He might also have run his 3.1, haven't tried to figure it precisely..you know why? I don't have to..lol
Add to that the fact the 6th race animals time was the equal of the Atto and you have a mirage. The field collapsed again. But you dont' know that. Thats ok, I won't hold you against you. You bet that Leroid next time ok. Bet with both hands.
>
> Did you see the race today, or are you blind? He
> won by the length of the stretch. You wanted to
> bet against him before the race, now afterwards it
> is your usual "probability existed he would win".
> You should try your probability posts before the
> race.
Addressed the optical illusion already. I bet against him very carefully and would have lost regardless. My horses all bounced. I did post pre race it was a race to be worried about. I was worried. Not so much because Leroid is a lot of horse.
One last thing. Probability is a mathematical term. There was a certain probability Leroid would win. It was a high probability. He was still worth a wager against there.
Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at 09/18/2005 10:39PM by Chuckles_the_Clown2.