Re: Super Frolic Buy (458 Views)
Posted by:
Chuckles_the_Clown2 (IP Logged)
Date: September 23, 2005 11:44AM
I've always believed Borrego was more horse than most. He hit the doldrums after the Ark, but Lava Man is a tough cookie and I think Borrego finally came around in the Classic. Granted pace helped.
Theres obviously no Borrego, Lava Man or Choctaw Nation in this race. (You could have caught them all at the finish line at Delmar with a small net)
Theres no St. Liam, Roses in May or Ghostzapper either, so Prefect Dread is well spotted. He was compromised in his large defeats by some of those others even if the problems didn't prevent him from winning.
Don't mean to imply he can't be beaten. Its a four horse race.
classhandicapper Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> CTC,
>
> "The other issue is Perfect Dread of course. If he
> gets a clean trip, hes certainly run fast enough
> recently to be extremely tough here. He gets a
> couple lbs off and he likes it here."
>
> Perfect Drift "has had" some difficulty finding
> the winners circle even when he's been spotted
> properly or was in the perfect position to close
> down a tired front runner. Heck even Borrego got
> by him. Plus, last year he ran a somewhat sub par
> race in his BC "prep". I would not be shocked if
> that happens again tomorrow. He may be the
> deserving favorite tomorrow because he does seem
> to be rounding into his best form and he has put
> up consistently good figures against some of the
> very best horses of the last few years, but IMO
> he's almost certainly going to be overbet. The key
> question is how do you construct a bet because I
> think it's unlikely for him to fire a complete dud
> in this field.
>
>
>